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Blog Entry

What if....?

Posted on: November 22, 2011 10:32 am
 
The only sure thing in the BCS title chase entering the second-to-last weekend of the season is chaos.  Well, and that LSU will play for the title if it finishes 13-0.

But, what if....

...Alabama beats Auburn?  Barring other upsets, Alabama is likely to play for the title too, but it's not a sure thing.  Voters could get to December 4th and decide they don't want a rematch and/or do want to reward a conference champion.  Is that likely?  It wouldn't seem so, and the only team I could imagine voters going for otherwise would be current human poll No. 6 Oklahoma State.  It's going to be tough for the Cowboys to catch Alabama with Virginia Tech and Stanford ahead of them in the polls though.

...Arkansas beats LSU?  Well, assuming Alabama beats Auburn also, the SEC West falls into a three-way tiebreaker, which in this case, would be decided by BCS standings and head-to-head.  The lowest-rated team of the three in this coming Sunday's rankings would be eliminated, and then head-to-head between the other two would decide it.

So, traditional voting patterns would indicate LSU would drop to third (he who loses last, loses worst).  That would give Alabama the division crown.  You could also make a case for ordering them Arkansas, LSU, Alabama (they beat each other, of course, but Bama's win came at home, while the others won on the road).  That would give Arkansas the West title.  I can't imagine Arkansas winning and still being third, but if that happened, LSU is still the West champion.

In any event, whichever team won would play for the BCS title as a 12-1 SEC champion.  That team's opponent is more uncertain, but it could be one of its divison foes, or again, Oklahoma State.

...Georgia wins the SEC?  I don't think it's a difficult concept to accept that the top two teams in the country could be in the same conference.  But, if that is truly the case, don't you think one of them could manage to win the league?

If the Bulldogs pull it off, expect them to shoot way up the rankings.  They might end up even being the top rated SEC team in the human polls (assuming they beat Georgia Tech this week).  In 2001, two-loss, Big 12 champion Colorado finished ahead of one-loss Nebraska in the polls, but NU ended up in the BCS title game anyway because the polls were only 25% of the formula back then.
In any event, this is the best case scenario for an Oklahoma State or Virginia Tech (if the voters still love them) to get into the title game.  I doubt very seriously that we would have two non-champion SEC teams playing for the BCS title.  However, if that does happen, Georgia still would get to go the Sugar Bowl as the SEC titlist.  That situation is the one exception to the two-team-per-conference limit.

Comments

Since: Feb 28, 2010
Posted on: November 25, 2011 11:27 am
 

What if....?

What if this and what if that...really??  Four team playoff and the "what if's" of college football fade away.  1 vs 4 in a bowl, 2 vs 3 in a bowl.  Winner meet in the BCS Championship game.  How hard is that?  You keep the bowl system and gain one extra game of revenue for the money hungry NCAA.  Then two more teams get a chance of winning the title.  Sounds like a win-win system to me.




Since: Nov 25, 2011
Posted on: November 25, 2011 10:51 am
 

What if....?

wat if wat the two best teams are supposed to play for the bcs championship lsu & bama are the two best teams so quit hating d howard and r gilmore and lets get it on RTR !!!!!



Since: Sep 17, 2009
Posted on: November 25, 2011 10:13 am
 

What if....?

All I know for certain is that we have played the best football on both sides of the ball over these last 3 games that we have played all season by far. (offinsively maybe the best I have EVER seen) I really believe that right now we can beat any team in the nation. It feels so cool to even be in this discussion and situation.  Thank you Bobby Petrino for taking this program and making it the elite program (Sugar Bowl last year and now this) we as Arkansas fans have been waiting for so long.



Since: Feb 28, 2007
Posted on: November 25, 2011 10:10 am
 

What if....?

" bama beat bama"...that's funny. i spent a few months in northern cali after the duck/tigers game and the oregon fans said the same. 



Since: Sep 17, 2009
Posted on: November 25, 2011 9:54 am
 

What if....?

Why is no one remembering the fact that the winner of the SEC West still has to go play a red hot GA Bulldogs team?  Also, if ARK beats LSU today why would they not take over the # 1 spot?  They would have beaten the only team that beat Alabama and done so at LSU...I think if ARK wins they get the SEC championship against GA and they win that they are in the National title game. 




Since: Jan 2, 2010
Posted on: November 25, 2011 12:29 am
 

What if....?

If LSU and 'Bama are 1 & 2, then they deserve to be in the Title game. Personally, I'd prefer to see them beat someone else. That would be more stand-up than a rematch.



Since: Oct 13, 2011
Posted on: November 24, 2011 10:14 pm
 

What if....?

sorry to inform you but lsu didnt really beat Bama. Bama beat Bama. if lsu is so sure of itself, they would be begging for a rematch because we all know lsu didnt really win that game.



Since: Oct 14, 2011
Posted on: November 24, 2011 7:53 pm
 

What if....?

Think about this... Arkansas wins by 13-17 points. A solid beating... Hogs move to #1 and holds the highest ranking tie breaker. Hogs play in the big game.
@slayerhog

Possibility exist that even with Hogs win and Bama win Hogs may still be in 3rd place.  This is primarily due to computers, But assume Hogs do rout, with a Bama win, how are you going to get the humans to jump Hogs over Bama?  Most likely Humans all put LSU at #3. But the issue is Bama, they are #3 in computers now and with win on Auburn, I do not see the Hogs going from 4.25 to jump Bama in the computers.

Long story short, only way Hogs go to SEC Champ game is with Bama lost assuming we beat LSU. Or if Bama win soooooo pig soooie  badly over Auburn (meaning nothing but outright luck) a game that everyone feels like Auburn should have won, then Hogs and LSU play another classic.  NOT A HOG rout over LSU. Maybe a double overtime loss and Kniles Davis scores winning TD?  Then humans may rank Hogs #1, LSU #2 and Bama #3.  That will put us in the SEC Champ game, but don't hold your hog breath.

I will just take the LSU victory right now.  It will fall in place.



Since: Aug 24, 2007
Posted on: November 24, 2011 7:40 pm
 

What if....?

Think about this... Arkansas wins by 13-17 points. A solid beating... Hogs move to #1 and holds the highest ranking tie breaker. Hogs play in the big game.       
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Since: Oct 14, 2011
Posted on: November 24, 2011 7:08 pm
 

BCS chaos ..likely? NO!!! SEC Domination

f Arkansas beats LSU, and Georgia beats Arkansas, I don't believe the voters will allow an Alabama-LSU rematch. How fair would it be for LSU to have to beat Alabama twice JUST TO WIN THE TITLE. LSU would win the 1st and lose the 2nd yet Alabama would get the title? Remember, the coaches poll must declare the THE WINNER OF THE TITLE GAME THE CHAMPION. However, the AP poll does not have to crown the winner of that game the champion. Hence, a split Championship is a high possibility. You gotta love the crazy things that can happen on any give Saturday. The computer rankings is footballs version of the RPI. It is who you defeat and who your opponents defeat, not necessarily who you lose too. That is why you have 8 Big 12 teams vs 5 for the SEC ranked in the Top 20 Sagarin ratings (BCS rankings-uses the ELO Chess). A 9th team from The Big 12, Texas Tech, has lost every game since the OU win, yet they are still ranked #30. All of this should make an exciting finish to "The Greatness that is College Football." For the record, I do like Arkansas to beat LSU tomorrow, Notre Dame to beat Stanford, Tulsa to beat Houston, Alabama over Auburn, and Oklahoma to beat the OSU next weekend
@djsooner

I tried to let you slide because you seem like a thinking man's football guy.  I can buy your Sooner Homerism but while it is a nice try for two loss Sooners, there is one major flaw with your theory.

If Hogs beat LSU, and Bama beats Auburn which you believe will be the case, then Hogs do not play Georgia in SEC Champ game.  It will be Bama.  Further if OU beats OSU (GO SOONERS) then it would solidify with no dispute Hogs in National Title Game period.  Hogs would play Alabama asumming they beat Georgia, if not then Hogs could be looking at rematch with LSU.  You know the rematch that no one is even thinking about.

It is like a forced Chess move, no matter how you slice n dice it it comes up all SEC ESPECIALLY if OU beats OSU.  Don't blame SEC for weather in Norman.  You guys should have asked Deloss Dodds if you could have rescheduled?  SEC did not plant ISU to bushwhack OSU, and certainly they had nothing to do with Stoops calling that time out against Baylor.  He should have the 2 play call on for real at the end of regulation versus trying to make them jump.  Baylor could not stop that Bell guy.



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